Risk Identification of Private Entities in Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Projects for Water Supply Systems (SPAM)

Authors

  • Fakhrudin Naufal Ansori Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember
  • Farida Rachmawati Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55681/sentri.v5i1.5734

Keywords:

PPP, Water Supply Systems, Risk Management, Private Entity Selection, Risk Matrix

Abstract

The development of Water Supply System (SPAM) infrastructure through the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) scheme serves as a strategic solution to the state's fiscal limitations. However, its implementation faces challenges of high-risk complexity, particularly regarding the resilience of private partners post-construction. Failure to anticipate risks from the bidding stage often leads to financial distress or service failure during the concession period. This study aims to identify and map the dominant risk profile inherent to private entities during the partner selection phase of SPAM PPP projects. Using a descriptive quantitative method, data were collected through structured questionnaires from 7 expert respondents representing key stakeholders, selected via purposive and snowball sampling techniques. Data analysis was performed by calculating the Severity Index to map risks into a probability and impact matrix. The results reveal a significant risk distribution pattern, where the majority of risks are concentrated in the red zone (high/extreme risk) and orange zone, with none in the safe zone. Specifically, the study identified three highest-risk variables: "debt burden and financial instability" (financial aspect), "lack of capability in design and construction" (technical aspect), and "weakness in water system management capability" (managerial aspect). "Debt burden and financial instability" was identified as the most critical risk in the extreme quadrant, with the highest impact of 83%. Meanwhile, socio-political risks demonstrated significant impact despite having a lower probability. This study concludes that financial stability and technical competence are "killer factors" that must be prioritized in the evaluation criteria for private entity selection. The findings recommend that the Government Contracting Agency (PJPK) tighten the selection process regarding financial and technical aspects to ensure project sustainability.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abednego, M. P., and S. O. Ogunlana. “Good project governance for proper risk allocation in public–private partnerships in Indonesia.” International Journal of Project Management 24, no. 7 (2006): 622–634.

Adiyanti, N. P., and R. Fathurrahman. “Assessing critical success factors for PPP water project in Indonesia: Lessons from West Semarang.” Policy & Governance Review 5, no. 2 (2021): 164–181.

Ameyaw, E. E., and A. P. C. Chan. “Identifying public–private partnership (PPP) risks in managing water supply projects in Ghana.” Journal of Facilities Management 11, no. 2 (2013): 152–182.

Ameyaw, E. E., and A. P. C. Chan. “Evaluation and ranking of risk factors in public–private partnership water supply projects in developing countries using fuzzy synthetic evaluation approach.” Expert Systems with Applications 42, no. 12 (2015): 5102–5116.

Ameyaw, E. E., A. P. Chan, D. G. Owusu-Manu, D. J. Edwards, and F. Dartey. “A fuzzy-based evaluation of financial risks in build–own–operate–transfer water supply projects.” Journal of Infrastructure Systems 23, no. 4 (2017): 04017033.

Chan, A. P. C., J. F. Y. Yeung, C. C. P. Yu, S. Q. Wang, and Y. Ke. “Empirical study of risk assessment and allocation of public-private partnership projects in China.” Journal of Management in Engineering 27, no. 3 (2011): 136–148.

Darko, A., A. P. C. Chan, E. E. Ameyaw, E. K. Owusu, E. Pärn, and D. J. Edwards. “Review of application of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) in construction.” International Journal of Construction Management 19, no. 5 (2019): 436–452.

Fernando, R. “Dua tahun proyek Umbulan berjalan, warga rasakan debit irigasi menurun.” Radar Bromo (31 Mei 2023). https://radarbromo.jawapos.com/news/1001634924/dua-tahun-proyek-umbulan-berjalan-warga-rasakan-debit-irigasi-menurun.

Hartono, B., M. D. A. Ghifari, and O. Dianita. “Risk allocation preferences in Indonesian electricity public–private partnership projects: A conjoint analysis.” IEEE Engineering Management Review 49, no. 3 (2021): 154–174.

Hartono, W., A. P. H. Purnomo, and Sunarmasto. “Risk allocation implementation analysis of public-private partnership for infrastructure project (Case Study of the Solo-Yogyakarta-NYIA Kulon Progo Highway Project).” In International Conference on Rehabilitation and Maintenance in Civil Engineering, 853–862. Singapore: Springer, 2021.

Hertati, D., and M. Rachman. “Public private partnership in management drinking water supply system: Disruption innovation perspective.” International Journal of Religion 5, no. 10 (2024): 1770–1781.

Kacaribu, F., Y. M. Gultom, N. A. Desdiani, and S. Sabrina. “Government initiatives to unlock private participation in infrastructure: Lessons from Indonesia’s public–private partnership in the water sector.” In Unlocking Private Investment in Sustainable Infrastructure in Asia, 239–261. Routledge, 2022.

Lima, S., D. Boshoff, and C. Viljoen. “Public–Private Partnerships: A Fresh Risk-Based Approach to Water Sector Projects.” CivilEng 2, no. 2 (2021): 365–384.

Mazher, K. M., A. P. C. Chan, R. M. Choudhry, H. Zahoor, D. J. Edwards, A. M. Ghaithan, and M. Aziz. “Identifying measures of effective risk management for public–private partnership infrastructure projects in developing countries.” Sustainability 14, no. 21 (2022): 14149.

Moradi Shahdadi, L., B. Aminnejad, H. Sarvari, and D. W. Chan. “Determining the critical risk factors of implementing public–private partnership in water and wastewater infrastructure facilities.” Buildings 13, no. 11 (2023): 2735.

Omurzakova, A., U. Shalbolova, and G. Mukhanova. “Risk assessment of social public-private partnership projects.” Public Policy and Administration 21, no. 2 (2022).

Osei-Kyei, R., and A. P. Chan. “Review of studies on the Critical Success Factors for Public–Private Partnership (PPP) projects from 1990 to 2013.” International Journal of Project Management 33, no. 6 (2015): 1335–1346.

Paramita, A. A., and N. D. Purwanti. “The role of the Ministry of National Development Planning of the Republic of Indonesia in public-private partnership.” Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Management 6, no. 2 (2023): 103–116.

Parlindungan, D. R., R. Setiadi, and M. López. “Critical risk factors of PPP water supply project in Indonesia.” Development 7, no. 1 (2022): 21–32.

Pj Sekda Provinsi Jawa Timur. Pemaparan Evaluasi KPBU SPAM Umbulan. Surabaya: Pemerintah Provinsi Jawa Timur, 2024.

Purbo, R. K., C. Smith, and R. J. Bianchi. “Local government and public–private partnerships: Experiencing multilevel governance issues in Indonesian water supply provision.” International Journal of Water Resources Development 36, no. 1 (2020): 27–49.

Rahman, H. Z., P. Miraj, and A. Andreas. “Exploring public–private partnership scheme in operation and maintenance stage of railway project.” Sustainability 11, no. 22 (2019): 6517.

Ray, S. Infrastructure finance and financial sector development. 2015.

Rezaeenour, J., M. Mousavi-Saleh, and A. R. Kolahkaj. “Analyzing the risk factors of private–public partnerships for water supply projects using fuzzy synthetic evaluation: A case study of Iranian water supply projects.” Water Science and Technology: Water Supply 18, no. 3 (2017): 1005–1019.

Selim, A. M. “A new era for PPP in Egypt’s urban water supply projects: Risk assessment and operating model.” Ain Shams Engineering Journal (2022).

Tariq, S., and X. Zhang. “Critical Failure Drivers in International Water PPP Projects.” Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 147, no. 1 (2020).

Tiong, R., and J. A. Anderson. “Public-private partnership risk assessment and management process: The Asian dimension.” In Public-Private Partnerships: Managing Risks and Opportunities, 225–243. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003.

Wijanarko, N., and Z. P. Ye. “Transaction cost economics perspectives on Indonesian public-private partnership (PPP): Case study on Umbulan Water Supply System PPP.” SSRN Electronic Journal (2023).

Downloads

Published

2026-01-31

How to Cite

Ansori, F. N., & Rachmawati, F. (2026). Risk Identification of Private Entities in Public-Private Partnership (PPP) Projects for Water Supply Systems (SPAM). SENTRI: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, 5(1), 852–865. https://doi.org/10.55681/sentri.v5i1.5734